Date: 01-Jun-2026

Monthly Outlook

GLOBAL QUES

QUES Close (APR) Previous Month’s Close (MAY) Return (%)
DOW Jones Industrial (DJIA) 49,652.14 51037.09 2.79%
GOLD 151,225 156000 3.16%
SILVER 244,638 267000 9.14%
CRUDE OIL 9,858 8311 -15.69%
USD-INR 94.89 94.99 0.11%
US BOND YIELD 10YR 4.374% 4.437% 1.44%
IND BOND YIELD 10YR 7.018 7.003 % -0.21%

DOMESTIC MARKET PERFORMANCE

Equity Indices Exchange Close (APR) Previous Month’s Close(MAY) Return (%)
NIFTY NSE 23,997.55 23,547.75 -1.87%
NIFTY BANK NSE 54,863.35 54,239.20 -1.14%
NIFTY MIDCAP NSE 13,826.00 14,474.90 4.69%
NIFTY SMALLCAP NSE 18,007.15 18,138.80 0.73%
NIFTY FIN NSE 25,657.35 25,354.00 -1.18%
NIFTY IT NSE 29,353.90 29,080.15 -0.93%
NIFTY PHARMA NSE 23,267.70 24,345.80 4.63%
NIFTY AUTO NSE 25,917.60 26,338.45 1.62%
SENSEX BSE 76,913.50 74,775.74 -2.78%
BANKEX BSE 61,706.88 61,131.26 -0.93%

NIFTY

Market Overview – May Performance

Nifty remained under pressure during May 2026, closing near 23,548, declining around 1.9% for the month. The index continued to trade within a broad consolidation range after the sharp recovery seen in April. Selling pressure emerged near the major resistance zone around 26,000, while support near the rising trend line helped absorb lower-level declines. The monthly candle structure indicates indecisiveness, with markets struggling to establish a strong directional move.

June Outlook

The June 2026 outlook remains neutral to cautiously bearish unless Nifty reclaims the 24,500–25,000 resistance zone decisively. Sustaining above this range could trigger fresh momentum toward 26,000. However, failure to hold the rising trend line support near 23,000–22,800 may result in another corrective phase toward 22,000–21,500. Traders may continue to adopt a stock-specific approach while maintaining caution at higher levels.

Technical Indicators and Momentum

RSI is near 50, reflecting neutral momentum and lack of strong directional strength. Price continues to trade above the 50-EMA but remains below the key resistance zone, indicating consolidation within the broader trend. The flattening RSI and sideways price action suggest momentum exhaustion and a wait-and-watch phase for the next breakout or breakdown.

Key Levels to Watch

Immediate Resistance: 24,500 – 25,000Next Resistance: 26,000

Immediate Support: 23,000 – 22,800 Major Support: 22,000 – 21,500

BANKNIFTY

Market Overview – May Performance

Bank Nifty remained volatile during May 2026, closing near 54,239, declining around 1.1% for the month. After witnessing a sharp recovery in April, the index struggled to sustain higher levels near the 58,000–59,000 resistance zone, resulting in profit booking and range-bound price action. However, support near the breakout and trendline zone around 52,000–52,500 helped limit deeper downside pressure. The broader structure remains consolidative with stock-specific action dominating the banking space.

June Outlook

The June 2026 outlook remains sideways to cautiously bullish as long as Bank Nifty sustains above the 52,000–51,500 support zone. A decisive move above 55,500–56,000 could trigger fresh momentum toward 58,000–59,000. However, failure to hold the key support area may lead to renewed weakness toward 50,000 levels. Traders are advised to remain selective and focus on buyon-dips near strong support zones until a clear breakout emerges.

Technical Indicators and Momentum

RSI is near 52, indicating neutral momentum with no strong directional confirmation. Price is trading around the 20-EMA while comfortably above the 50-EMA, suggesting that the medium-term structure remains intact despite short-term consolidation. The flattening RSI and sideways candle formation reflect indecision and a pause after recent volatility.

Key Levels to Watch

Immediate Resistance: 55,500 – 56,000 Next Resistance: 58,000 – 59,000

Immediate Support: 52,000 – 51,500 Major Support: 50,000 – 49,500

Harshita Pawan Darak

Digitally signed by Harshita Pawan Darak Date: 2026.06.01 08:10+05:30

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