04-Sep-2025
2 mins read
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Nifty 50 Outlook For September 5, 2025
Nifty 50 is showing mixed signals, leaning towards a cautious sentiment. The index closed at 24,739.80, slightly higher than its open but still below the key Pivot Point of 24,807.75. The price action indicates an inability to sustain gains, which is a key sign of underlying weakness.
The technical indicators reinforce this indecision. While the 5-day and 20-day SMAs are bullish, all other short and medium-term SMAs are bearish. The 5 & 20 DMA and 20 & 50 DMA crossovers are also bearish, a major warning sign for a potential downtrend. Key momentum indicators like MACD and Williamson %R are bearish, while RSI, Stochastic, and CCI are neutral. The ADX at 22.27 indicates a weak trend, suggesting a period of consolidation. The high ATR suggests continued volatility.
Nifty 50 Chart
Nifty 50 Technical Levels
| Indicator | Value | Action |
| RSI(14) | 48.57 | Neutral |
| MACD(12,26,9) | -60.43 | Bearish |
| Stochastic(20,3) | 46.49 | Neutral |
| ROC(20) | 0.27 | Bullish |
| CCI(20) | 34.33 | Neutral |
| Williamson%R(14) | -58.32 | Bearish |
| ATR(14) | 209.84 | High Volatility |
| ADX(14) | 22.27 | Weak Trend |
| Bollinger Band(20,2) | UB: 25,104.45 | |
| LB: 24,291.84 | ||
| SMA20 : 24,698.14 |
Nifty 50 Forecast For September 5, 2025
For the next trading day and the upcoming week, a cautious outlook is warranted. The index faces immediate resistance at the Classic R1 (24,907.30). A failure to break above this level could see the index re-test its S1 support at 24,634.75. A move below this support could accelerate the decline towards S2 at 24,535.20. Given the conflicting signals, a "sell on rise" strategy is recommended. The market is likely to remain in a trading range until a clear trend emerges.
Bank Nifty Outlook For September 5, 2025
Bank Nifty is currently in a strong bearish trend. Today's close at 54,101.10 was below its pivot point of 54,165.95 and all major SMAs, except the long-term 200-period SMA, which indicates underlying weakness. The daily chart confirms this trend with a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Most key indicators are signaling bearish momentum, with RSI, MACD, ROC, and CCI all in bearish territory. The Stochastic and Williamson %R are in oversold conditions, which could hint at a potential bounce, but the ADX at 31.11 confirms a strong, directional trend—and in this case, it's down. The high ATR suggests significant intraday volatility will continue. The 5 & 20 DMA and 20 & 50 DMA crossovers are all bearish, reinforcing a negative outlook.
Bank Nifty Chart
Bank Nifty Technical Levels
| Indicator | Level | Indication |
| RSI(14) | 37.11 | Bearish |
| MACD(12,26,9) | -574.53 | Bearish |
| Stochastic(20,3) | 19.3 | Oversold |
| ROC(20) | -2.34 | Bearish |
| CCI(20) | -81.29 | Bearish |
| Williamson%R(14) | -80.7 | Oversold |
| ATR(14) | 511.11 | High Volatility |
| ADX(14) | 31.11 | Strong Trend |
| Bollinger Band(20,2) | UB: 56,393.48 | |
| LB: 53,414.29 | ||
| SMA20 : 54,903.88 |
Bank Nifty Forecast For September 5, 2025
For the next trading day and the coming week, the bearish sentiment is likely to persist. The immediate support level to watch is S1 at 53,881.35, and a break below this could see the index fall towards S2 at 53,687.25. For a reversal to occur, the index would need to convincingly trade above its pivot point and reclaim its short-term SMAs, which seems unlikely in the immediate future. Until then, a "sell on rise" strategy remains prudent.